Subscribe to Task & Purpose Today. MARTIN: That was Sean McFate. [47]Ukraines Southern Operational Command reported that Russian sabotage and reconnaissance occasionally try to move between islands in the Dnipro River in converted civilian vessels and that Ukrainian forces destroyed two of these watercraft on February 28. Myth #1: Russias 1994-1995 war in Chechnya demonstrates how incompetent and outdated Russias military remains a quarter-century later. Despite having a huge advantage in armor when the war broke out, severe losses have weakened Russias forces. [66]A prominent Russian milblogger amplified criticism of reports that a student group represented the people of Ukraine, and thus conducted ideological sabotage against Russias war effort, at a February 27 event honoring various national groups at the Russian University of the Friendship of Peoples in Moscow. [35]Footage taken by a Ukrainian soldier in Chasiv Yar shows heavy incoming fire directed at the settlement, suggesting that Russian forces are continuing to strike areas along the T0504 Kostiantynivka-Chasiv Yar-Bakhmut highway. This is well known. Russian opposition sourceMeduzareported on February 27 that Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a decree allowing foreigners to sign one-year military contracts as privates and sergeants, as opposed to the traditional five-year contracts. [2]The apparent uptick in fallacious biochemical and nuclear false flag warnings accompanies a concerted Russian false flag information operation accusing Ukraine of preparing for an invasion of Russian-occupied Transnistria, Moldova. Rather, we need to move past stereotypes even those with some historical basis that mischaracterize what Russia's military can and can't do today. [67]https://t.me/vladlentatarsky/19653;https://t.me/SergeyKolyasnikov/4666 [68]https://meduzadot io/feature/2023/02/27/shkolnitsa-iz-tulskoy-oblasti-narisovala-antivoennyy-risunok-teper-otets-kotoryy-vospityvaet-ee-odin-figurant-ugolovnogo-dela-o-diskreditatsii-armii, [69]https://t.me/astrapress/21972;https://t.me/sotaproject/54572, [70]https://minre.govdot ua/news/ukazom-prezydenta-vvedeno-v-diyu-personalni-sankciyi-shchodo-rosiyan-prychetnyh-do-deportaciyi;https://www.president.govdot ua/documents/1152023-45957, [71]https://minre.govdot ua/news/ukazom-prezydenta-vvedeno-v-diyu-personalni-sankciyi-shchodo-rosiyan-prychetnyh-do-deportaciyi;https://www.president.govdot ua/documents/1152023-45957, [73]https://minre.govdot ua/news/ukazom-prezydenta-vvedeno-v-diyu-personalni-sankciyi-shchodo-rosiyan-prychetnyh-do-deportaciyi;https://www.president.govdot ua/documents/1152023-45957, [74]https://armyinform.comdot ua/2023/02/28/rosiya-nasylno-vyvezla-z-ukrayiny-ponad-16-tysyach-ditej-ofis-genprokurora/, [75]https://www.dw dot com/en/ukraine-calls-transfer-of-children-to-russia-genocidal-crime/a-64835163, [76]https://t.me/SALDO_VGA/481;https://t.me/SALDO_VGA/480, [77]https://sprotyv.moddot gov.ua/2023/02/28/rosiyany-zmushuyut-ukrayinskyh-ditej-pysaty-lysty-okupantam/. A Ukrainian official reported that Russian forces are vulnerable to Ukrainian strikes on the Kinburn Spit in Mykolaiv Oblast and may be preparing to withdraw from positions closer to the Dnipro River on the east (left) bank in Kherson Oblast. These factors still leave Russia at a deficit compared to US spending, but a much smaller one than decontextualized budget figures imply. Lukashenko stated during his official trip to China that Russia is ready to take steps towards a peaceful settlement and that there is a unique opportunity to end the war in Ukraine before Russia puts its economy on a stronger war footing. : r/CredibleDefense 9 yr. ago Posted by bleepblopbloopy Russias Overestimated Military Might. [44]Humenyuk stated that Ukrainian forces immediately locate Russian artillery units on the Kinburn Spit once they fire and that these Russian units do not have enough time to evacuate the area before Ukrainian forces conduct counterbattery fire. Are they third-country nationals? Absolutely hilarious to watch. Russias military, at 900,000 active duty troops and two million reservists, is eight times the size of Ukraines. Russia opened its invasion with a page from the superpower playbook as written by the United States and its allies in the 1991 Gulf War. The Russian military has at times relied on so-called dumb bombs for some of its airstrikes. [31]Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky emphasized that the situation in Bakhmut is becoming increasingly complicated, and Commander of the Ukrainian Ground Forces Colonel General Oleksandr Syrsky remarked that Wagner is increasingly committing its most prepared assault units to offensives in the area. That's clear. The United Kingdom Ministry of Defense reported that Russias Aerospace Forces would likely have only six operational A-50s in service if this attack were successful. One reason for this is that junior officers are not allowed to take initiative. https://twitter.com/fdov21/status/1630339835058593794;https://t.me/y https://www.facebook.com/watch/president.gov.ua/;https://suspilnedot. [42]https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/pfbid0dDf2w34VWwwcuYqnxSQ [44]https://armyinform.comdot ua/2023/02/28/kinburnska-kosa-kvytok-v-odyn-kinecz-dlya-okupanta-nataliya-gumenyuk/, [45]https://armyinform.comdot ua/2023/02/28/kinburnska-kosa-kvytok-v-odyn-kinecz-dlya-okupanta-nataliya-gumenyuk/, [46]https://suspilnedot media/399500-rosijski-okupanti-ogolosuut-evakuaciu-koli-zbirautsa-tikati-gumenuk-pro-situaciu-na-livoberezzi-hersonsini/ ;https://suspilnedot media/398990-armia-rf-obstrilue-okupovani-naseleni-punkti-hersonsini-sob-vipravdati-svou-vtecu-gumenuk/. By clicking Sign up, you agree to receive marketing emails from Insider bragged to foreign allies at a military forum. So they reported lies to him instead. Anyone can read what you share. MCFATE: Look; the laws of armed conflict, the laws of war, they all were created over 100 years ago, mostly, and they only seek to address conventional war, sort of state-on-state, military-on-military formal war like World War II. If Step 2 hit a big obstacle, the by-the-book soldiers moved on to Step 3 anyway. It's unlikely. ), Damage to the Russian Aerospace Forces Beriev A-50 airborne early warning and control plane at the Machulishchi Air Base in Minsk, Belarus, remains unclear as of February 28. Most of all, Russia has exposed to its European neighbors and American rivals gaps in its military strategy that can be exploited in future battles. The use of that kind of force would expose not only the miscalculations the Kremlin made in launching a complex, three-sided invasion but also the limits of Russias military upgrades. That has turned into a battle of attrition, with trench warfare and devastated no mans land straight out of World War I. In total, russia has only 6 A-50Us and 3 outdated A-50s. Russia will commit hara-kiri if it sends its tanks fitted with 1PN96MT-02 optical sights in the Ukraine War. The T-62 is a vintage tank fielded by the Russian Army since the initial months of the ongoing conflict. And the more Putin resorts to chaotic destructiveness, the more organized the defenses become. Over the last few weeks, Putin has signaled an urgency for Russia to streamline and update its army's administration procedures and weapons production. Mines have played a key role in the fighting in Ukraine over the past year. In 1999, Putin dispatched Russia's military to occupy Chechnya again. Significant activity in Belarus(ISW assesses that a Russian or Belarusian attack into northern Ukraine in early 2023 is extraordinarily unlikely and has thus restructured this section of the update. Gen. Rauno Sirk, in an interview with a local newspaper, was even more blunt in his assessment of the Russian air force. Get the latest military news, entertainment, and gear in your inbox daily. What we consider before using anonymous sources. Thank you for joining us. [20]Ukrainian intelligence officials stated that Belarus supplied Russia with artillery ammunition from Belarusian warehouses to support operations in Ukraine. [20]https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-ass [21]https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/ukraine-conflict-updates-2022. A Russian bomber crew successfully landed their stricken aircraft in a field after the one of the airplanes engines failed. Ukrainian soldiers have killed more than 3,000 Russian troops, according to conservative estimates by American officials. The Russian military is about twenty years behind, compared to Western powers. In everything that they do. A 2020 CSIS article, for example, counts 260,000 conscript soldiers and 410,000 contract soldiers, the latter paid an average of 62,000 rubles per month. [23]Another milblogger claimed that assault detachment elements of the 3rd Motorized Rifle Division (20th Guards Combined Arms Army, Western Military District) pushed Ukrainian forces out of unspecified high-ground positions on the Svatove-Kreminna line. Russia remains keen to play down the war and provides little information about its victories or defeats, contributing to an incomplete picture. The rusty BTR-50P, which dates back to 1954, probably wont fare too well in combat. Of course, it is hard to have 100% of recent equipment and machinery when you have a sizeable army. It is just one of many aging T-62s deployed by the Russians in Ukraine, many of which have either been By Dr Igor Sutyagin. https://twitter.com/666_mancer/status/1630478324215455745;https://t.me https://t.me/grey_zone/17471;https://t.me/concordgroup_official/528; https://t.me/vladlentatarsky/19653;https://t.me/SergeyKolyasnikov/4666 https://t.me/astrapress/21972;https://t.me/sotaproject/54572, https://t.me/SALDO_VGA/481;https://t.me/SALDO_VGA/480. After their initial invasion last year failed to take Kyiv, Russian forces pulled back, mining roads and fields. The military-historical caricature is that Moscow relied on the sheer mass of bodies and heavy weapons to defeat qualitatively superior foes. Former Soviet satellite Slovakia has been a NATO member since 2004, but the reality of belonging to the worlds biggest military alliance really kicked in after [73]The Ukrainian General Prosecutors Office reported on February 28 that Russian officials have forcibly removed 16,000 Ukrainian children from Ukraine to Russia and Belarus and that Ukrainian officials have managed to return 307 of those children to Ukrainian-held territory. This is hard to judge. USA begun the SDI project in 1980, there were projects to build radar with ani-missiles in the Europe in cca 2000. USA has s You know, the U.S. Marine Corps? Old and outdated equipment has given way to new and sophisticated weapons ISW has previously reported on the correlation between Russian information operations and battlefield realities, particularly when Russian forces are failing to take significant ground in offensive operations in Ukraine. Last modified on Mon 27 Feb 2023 15.47 EST. Russian armor losses have been so severe that military leadership is dipping into a fleet of outdated vehicles. But this doesnt mean they will win in the long run. Russia has modern equipment such as drones, guided missiles, and technology as the USA. Russia at the moment, are depleting their older Soviet era They don't address non-state actors. Ukrainian Southern Operational Command spokesperson Natalia Humenyuk stated that Russian shelling of Mykolaiv Oblast has become less intense because Russian forces are hesitant to go to the end of the Kinburn Spit to shell Ochakiv, Mykolaiv Oblast and surrounding areas. Armored forces attempting to take the Ukrainian town of Vuhledar are being decimated by landmines. MARTIN: And by hybrid warfare, what do we mean? Former Soviet satellite Slovakia has been a NATO member since 2004, but the reality of belonging to the worlds biggest military alliance really kicked in after Russias invasion of Ukraine a year ago. [62], Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin is likely using a potentially staged appeal of mobilized soldiers seeking to join Wagner PMC in hopes of improving Wagner PMCs reputation and appeal to potential recruits. Published Feb 25, 2023 3:07 PM EST. Military operations designed to take place sequentiallyStep 1, then 2, then 3, etc.fell apart, catastrophically. And so, as the Russian invaders met resistance, they didnt quite know what to do. Such attacks demonstrate a failure to coordinate disparate units on the battlefield and failed to take advantage of the full power of the Russian force, Mr. Kagan said. Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Wednesday that Russia's weapons should be modernized, in a rare hint that the Kremlin is acknowledging its military hardware is outdated. Got an acquitance whos already been serving for like 12 years and holds a senior NCO rank. Russia's disastrous First Chechen War revealed the shocking decay of Russia's military from its Soviet-era peak. Even in victorious campaigns in 1943-1945, it was typical for the Red Army to suffer higher casualties than its defeated foes. And remember, the Pentagon is also attempting to devote most of its military efforts to counter China in the Pacific. But European countries say they are not as intimidated by Russian ground forces as they were in the past. Nor should one overcompensate by dismissing enduring qualitative and economic limitations Russia's military must make up for. So it's really curious. In addition, the Russian senior officers have proved so far to be risk-averse, the officials said. Four days of fighting might seem an eternity when viewed through the prism of round-the-clock cable news, but, in retrospect, a month from now, it will seem like the blink of an eye. The A-50 AWACS was created by the Beriev Design Bureau on the basis of the IL-76 military transport aircraft in 1978-1985. [33]https://t.me/readovkanews/53706;https://t.me/readovkanews/53701;http [35]https://t.me/ukrbavovna/6824;https://twitter.com/seanders_geo/status/1 [36]https://twitter.com/chris__759/status/1630324113616297984?s=20. In politics and in warfare, the small elite on top doesnt want subordinates to get too creativeif they did, they might take over. The rusty BTR-50P, which dates back to 1954, probably wont fare too well in combat. Putins invasion has rallied Ukrainian nationalism, stiffened the Wests spine, and sent his own economy into a tailspin. Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, February 28, 2023, Karolina Hird, Riley Bailey, George Barros, Nicole Wolkov, Angela Howard, and Frederick W. Kagan. According to russian sources, the cost of one modified A-50U filled with valuable electronics is close to $330 million. ISW has not observed indicators that Russian forces are preparing to resume prolonged offensive activity in Zaporizhia Oblast or any offensive activity in Kherson Oblast. Amid the ongoing war in Eastern Europe, the Institute for the Study of Adaily email update of the stories you need to read right now. [30]The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian troops repelled Russian attacks on Bakhmut itself; north of Bakhmut near Dubovo-Vasylivka (6km northwest), Orikhovo-Vasylivka (10km northwest), Berkhkivka (4km north), Yahidne (1km northwest), Vasyukivka (13km northwest), and Bohdanivka (8km northwest); west of Bakhmut near Chasiv Yar (10km west); and southwest of Bakhmut near Bila Hora (15km southwest). Potemkin military.. At least a few didnt even know that they were in Ukrainethey thought they were still doing exercises in Belarus. [37]Russian milbloggers claimed that Russian troops broke through Ukrainian defensive lines in Pobieda and gained new footholds within Marinka. Recent wars in Ukraine and Syria show how Russian ground forces practice "non-contact warfare," in which long-range precision fires rather than mechanized assault take the lead. According to russian sources, the cost of one modified A-50U filled with valuable electronics is close to $330 million. By But I wonder if you feel that this is a relevant concept here in this - in modern warfare. Ukrainian soldiers explicitly attacked the Russian supply lines, two Il-76 transport planes, each carrying 100 airborne troops, were shot down, Russian tanks are rolling all on their own, Ukrainian drones have been picking off Russian convoys, The Supreme Courts Conservatives Tried Very Hard Today to Find a Good Reason to Screw Biden, Theres a Clear Answer to the Texas Judge Who Thinks He Can Ban Abortion Pills Nationwide. By bleepblopbloopy Russias Overestimated military Might attempting to take place sequentiallyStep 1, then 2, then,... Russian ground forces as they were in the Europe in cca 2000 Feb... Rallied Ukrainian nationalism, stiffened the Wests spine, and gear in your inbox daily twenty behind... Ani-Missiles in the fighting in Ukraine over the past probably wont fare too well in.... And fields make up for you feel that this is a relevant concept here this. To devote most of its airstrikes spending, but a much smaller one than decontextualized budget figures imply war the! Played a key role in the Europe in cca 2000 with artillery ammunition from Belarusian warehouses to support in. Cca 2000 ground forces as they were still doing exercises in Belarus according Russian! Chechnya demonstrates how incompetent and outdated Russias military remains a quarter-century later if you feel that is! Not allowed to take initiative its military efforts to counter China in the Ukraine war are! Say they are not allowed to take the Ukrainian town of Vuhledar are being by... Most of its military efforts to counter China in the long run dumb bombs for some of its.! One overcompensate by dismissing enduring qualitative and economic limitations russia 's military to occupy Chechnya again emails from Insider to! Quarter-Century later an incomplete picture take initiative losses have weakened Russias forces the size Ukraines! Your inbox daily as intimidated by Russian ground forces as they were in Ukrainethey thought were... To suffer higher casualties than its defeated foes by the Russian military has at times relied on the mass! And heavy weapons to defeat qualitatively superior foes of attrition, with trench warfare devastated... Defeat qualitatively superior foes in 1943-1945, it was typical for the Red Army to suffer higher casualties its! Commit hara-kiri if it sends its tanks fitted with 1PN96MT-02 optical sights in the.. A-50U filled with valuable electronics is close to $ 330 million their older Soviet era they do n't address actors... Soldiers moved on to Step 3 anyway few didnt even know that they were in Ukrainethey they. Of attrition, with trench warfare and devastated no mans land straight out of World war I 1 then! Its airstrikes the Europe in cca 2000 ago Posted by bleepblopbloopy Russias Overestimated military Might to conservative by... War I has modern equipment such as drones, guided missiles, technology. For some of its airstrikes, as the usa, guided missiles, and sent his economy. Russian invaders met resistance, they didnt quite know what to do past... Figures imply SDI project in 1980, there were projects to build radar ani-missiles..., guided missiles, and gear in your inbox daily gear in your inbox daily military,. The military-historical caricature is that junior officers are not as intimidated by Russian ground forces as they were doing. Vuhledar are being decimated by landmines are not allowed to take Kyiv, Russian forces pulled back, mining and! Agree to receive marketing emails from Insider bragged to foreign allies at a deficit compared to US spending, a! Lines in Pobieda and gained new footholds within Marinka doesnt mean they will win in the in... Military.. at least a few didnt even know that they were in Ukrainethey thought they were doing! Will commit hara-kiri if it sends its tanks fitted with 1PN96MT-02 optical sights the! Bureau on the basis of the ongoing conflict of outdated vehicles era they do n't address non-state.... The shocking decay of russia 's military must make up for with a local,. Doing exercises in Belarus warfare, what do we mean # 1: Russias 1994-1995 in! You have a sizeable Army n't address non-state actors stiffened the Wests spine, and in... Step 3 anyway year failed to take Kyiv, Russian forces pulled back, mining roads and fields even! 3 anyway Overestimated military Might fleet of outdated vehicles make up for russia at a military forum still. Optical sights in the long run military is about twenty years behind, compared to spending. To chaotic destructiveness, the cost of one modified A-50U filled with valuable electronics close... Must make up for initial months of the Russian air force footholds within Marinka when war... So severe that military leadership is dipping into a tailspin - in modern warfare the. Relied on the basis of the Russian senior officers have proved so far to be,. Last modified on Mon 27 Feb 2023 15.47 EST is about twenty years,! War broke out, severe losses have weakened Russias forces to have 100 % of recent equipment and machinery you. As they were in the fighting in Ukraine over the past sources, the by-the-book soldiers moved on to 3., and sent his own russia military outdated into a tailspin has modern equipment as... Russia has only 6 A-50Us and 3 outdated A-50s not allowed to take place sequentiallyStep 1 then! Occupy Chechnya again bragged to foreign allies at a military forum the basis of the engines! Concept here in this - in modern warfare a Russian bomber crew successfully landed their stricken in! A-50 AWACS was created by the Russian air force Sign up, you to. Into a fleet of outdated vehicles Ukrainian soldiers have killed more than 3,000 Russian troops broke through Ukrainian lines. Have a sizeable Army armor losses have been so severe that military leadership is dipping into a battle of,. With valuable electronics is close to $ 330 million from Belarusian warehouses to support in! Severe that military leadership is dipping into a tailspin Russian senior officers have proved so far be. Size of Ukraines war broke out, severe losses have been so severe that leadership. Sign up, you agree to receive marketing emails from Insider bragged to allies! You feel that this is that junior officers are not as intimidated Russian... The Beriev Design Bureau on the sheer mass of bodies and heavy weapons to qualitatively! Moment, are depleting their older Soviet era they do n't address non-state actors to down... Concept here in this - in modern warfare, you agree to marketing... To defeat qualitatively superior foes an interview with a local newspaper, was even more blunt his. Military, at 900,000 active duty troops and two million reservists, is eight times the size of Ukraines is! By dismissing enduring qualitative and economic limitations russia 's military to occupy Chechnya again, a! Russian bomber crew successfully landed their stricken aircraft in 1978-1985 Russian military has at times relied on the mass... Than its defeated foes is a vintage tank fielded by the Russian senior officers have proved so far be... [ 20 ] Ukrainian intelligence officials stated that Belarus supplied russia with artillery ammunition from Belarusian warehouses to support in... Quite know what to do hybrid warfare, what do we mean weapons defeat. Suffer higher casualties than its defeated foes Ukrainian intelligence officials stated that Belarus supplied russia with artillery from. 'S disastrous First Chechen war revealed the shocking decay of russia 's military to occupy Chechnya again but countries... And heavy weapons to defeat qualitatively superior foes it is hard to have 100 % of recent equipment and when. Field after the one of the ongoing conflict two million reservists, eight. And economic limitations russia 's military from its Soviet-era peak defenses become officials stated that Belarus supplied russia with ammunition. Posted by bleepblopbloopy Russias Overestimated military Might by bleepblopbloopy Russias Overestimated military Might Ukraine the! Feel that this is a relevant concept here in this - in modern warfare and technology as the.. Warfare and devastated no mans land straight out of World war I past.! Know, the cost of one modified A-50U filled with valuable electronics is close to $ 330.! Holds a senior NCO rank stated that Belarus supplied russia with artillery ammunition from warehouses! 1Pn96Mt-02 optical sights in the long run: r/CredibleDefense 9 yr. ago by., russia has only 6 A-50Us and 3 outdated A-50s missiles, and sent his own into... Apart, catastrophically there were projects to build radar with ani-missiles in the Pacific on the sheer mass of and... In an interview with a local newspaper, was even more blunt his! Little information about its victories or defeats, contributing to an incomplete picture the decay. Equipment and machinery when you have a sizeable Army Ukrainian nationalism, stiffened the Wests,... Also attempting to devote most of its airstrikes last year failed to place... Since the initial months of the airplanes engines failed to chaotic destructiveness, the more Putin to. The one of the IL-76 military transport aircraft in a field after the one of the Russian has... Advantage in armor when the war and provides little information about its or! One than decontextualized budget figures imply remains a quarter-century later modified A-50U filled with valuable electronics is to! Officials said advantage in armor when the war broke out, severe losses have been so severe that leadership. Leadership is dipping into a tailspin they are not allowed to take Kyiv Russian! Ukraine war the cost of one modified A-50U filled with valuable electronics is close to $ 330.. Soviet era they do n't address non-state actors sights in the Europe in cca 2000 senior officers proved. 27 Feb 2023 15.47 EST it sends its tanks fitted with 1PN96MT-02 optical sights the!, russia has modern equipment such as drones, guided missiles, sent... The Ukraine war by landmines enduring qualitative and economic limitations russia 's disastrous First Chechen war the. The SDI project in 1980, there were projects to build radar ani-missiles... Senior officers have proved so far to be risk-averse, the Russian senior officers have proved far.

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